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When the Kansas City Chiefs play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the 2021 Super Bowl Sunday evening, at least one player will be hoping for a carbon copy of the Week 12 meeting between the two teams in Tampa, Fla. Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill went for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game as Kansas City won 27-24. Below, we look at Tyreek Hill’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.
Tyreek Hill Super Bowl prop bets
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:50 p.m. ET.
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First touchdown scorer – 2nd half: +375
Hill is +320 to score the Chiefs’ first touchdown of the game and +600 for Super Bowl 55’s first touchdown. The odds rise for him to score the first TD of the second half, when the game tends to open up a little bit. He’s just -165 for an anytime touchdown, and his +225 odds for 2 or more TDs are the lowest of any player. Play the odds, and take the value.
He was the only player to find the end zone in the third quarter of the Chiefs-Bucs’ Week 12 meeting, doing so on a 20-yard pass from QB Patrick Mahomes.
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Super Bowl Prop BetsBank on these Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop betsChiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and predictionFirst reception: OVER 11.5 yards (+100)
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Hill had an average depth of target of 12.9 yards in the regular season. He also averaged 5.0 yards after the catch per reception and broke 8 tackles.
He averaged 14.7 yards per reception and 9.5 yards per target over 15 games, and he gashed the Bucs for 17.93 yards per target in their Week 12 meeting. Mahomes has other options for conservative check-downs. If he’s using Hill, it’s for a gain of 12 or more yards.
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Receptions made: UNDER 6.5 (+115)
This is one where the averages work against Hill. He had 7 or more receptions in just three of 15 regular-season games, but he had 8 in the divisional round against the Cleveland Browns and 9 against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship. Of course, he also had 13 on 15 targets against the Bucs in Week 12.
Hill’s playmaking and big-play abilities mean he doesn’t need the ball too often to make an impact.
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Player with most receiving yards: +190
Hill is the second option on this prop behind teammate TE Travis Kelce (+175). Take the value with Hill, who can achieve this task with just a few receptions.
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Both offenses are loaded with pass-catching threats. Both Mahomes and Bucs QB Tom Brady will likely distribute the wealth and could make this a more manageable accomplishment for each individual option.
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